USDJPY and US 10Yr yield, the differential of both have always had strong positive correlation in past. However, recently we have witnessed a decoupling in the correlation between the Japanese yen and US 10 Yr yields, where differential have started widening.
The yields on 10Yr bonds have fallen on account of Fed policies keeping its interest rate nearly zero, whereas Yen has depreciated against the dollar largely due to the extended Asset Purchase program by BOJ supported by week macro economic data in Japan. If Fed maintains its policy rates unchanged and on other side Bank of Japan continues to expand its monetary policy to boost economy which should be enough to lift the USDJPY towards north. Hence, the differential between USDJPY and US 10Yr yield will uphold in near term. Now, the question remains for how long this will sustain as in past both have positive correlation for prolong period.
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